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Pascal Seiler

Dr. sc. ETH
Data Scientist and Economist

     

I am an economic data scientist at the KOF Swiss Economic Institute at ETH Zurich. My previous professional experience covers research and policy positions at the European Central Bank and the Swiss National Bank. During my doctoral studies, I was part of the Price-Setting Microdata Analysis (PRISMA) network.

I received my PhD from ETH Zurich in 2024. I also hold a Master of Science (MSc) in International and Monetary Economics and a Bachelor of Arts (BA) in Mathematics and Philosophy. My academic performance has been honored with multiple awards.


Academic Publications

Price Setting on the Two Sides of the Atlantic - Evidence from Supermarket Scanner Data, with Peter Karadi, Juergen Amann, Javier Sánchez Bachiller, and Jesse Wursten
Journal of Monetary Economics, Vol. 140, 2024
[Publisher] [ECB Working Paper] [CEPR Working Paper] [VoxEU] [Coverage: Speeches I. Schnabel (Aug 2023, Nov 2023)]

Weighting Bias and Inflation in the Time of COVID-19: Evidence from Swiss Transaction Data
Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 156 (13), 2020


Research in Progress

Price Setting Before and During the Pandemic: Evidence from Swiss Consumer Prices, with Barbara Rudolf

Nonlinearities of Monetary Policy across States of Price Rigidity

Time Variation in Price Setting and Monetary Non-Neutrality, with Barbara Rudolf

The Price of War: Causal Evidence on Firms' Price Setting in Response to the War in Ukraine

How Do Companies Set Their Prices? Survey Evidence From Switzerland

Monetary Policy Shocks and Firms' Investment Decisions, with Klaus Abberger, Alexander Rathke, and Samad Sarferaz


Policy Contributions

Study on Inflation Expectations in the Survey of Swiss Consumer Sentiment, with Klaus Abberger, Nina Mühlebach, and Stefanie Siegrist
Grundlagen für die Wirtschaftspolitik, No 51, 2024
Price Setting During the Coronavirus (COVID-19) Pandemic, with Lukas Henkel, Elisabeth Wieland, Aneta Błążejowska, Cristina Conflitti, Brian Fabo, Ludmila Fadejeva, Jana Jonckheere, Peter Karadi, Paweł Macias, Jan-Oliver Menz, and Karol Szafranek
ECB Occasional Paper, No 324, 2023
Causes and Effects of a Low Interest Period - An Empirical Analysis with Micro- and Macrodata, with Reto Föllmi, Torsten Schmidt, Niklas Isaak, and Philipp Jäger
Grundlagen für die Wirtschaftspolitik, No 26, 2021
KOF Economic Forecasts
[2025: Q1; 2024: Q4, Q3, Q2, Q1; 2023: Q4, Q3, Q2, Q1; 2022: Q4, Q3, Q2, Q1; 2021: Q4, Q3, Q2, Q1; 2020: Q4, Q3, Q2, Q1; 2019: Q4, Q3]

KOF Investment Survey
[2024: Autumn, Spring; 2023: Autumn, Spring; 2022: Autumn, Spring; 2021: Autumn, Spring; 2020: Autumn, Spring; 2019: Autumn]


Spotlights

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ECB Conference on Monetary Policy 2024: bridging science and practice
I presented my paper "Nonlinearities of Monetary Policy across States of Price Rigidity" at the Young Economist Session of the ECB 2024 Conference on Monetary Policy.
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Expert interview in Swiss television
I was interviewed by the Swiss television news broadcast 10vor10 about the price-setting behavior of companies in Switzerland.
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