Pascal Seiler

I am a data scientist and operations researcher at Swiss International Air Lines, where I apply scientific methods and advanced analytics to revenue management within SWISS WorldCargo, the airline's air-cargo division. My previous professional experience covers research and policy positions at ETH Zurich, the European Central Bank, and the Swiss National Bank.

I received my PhD from ETH Zurich. During my doctoral studies, I was part of the Price-Setting Microdata Analysis (PRISMA) network. My academic performance has been honored with multiple awards.

Spotlights

Revenue Management & Optimization

I develop decision models that support capacity allocation, network steering, and commercial decision making in air cargo.

Forecasting & Decision Support

I build forecasting systems that transform operational data into actionable insights for planning and performance management.

Method & Science Leadership

I drive the application of advanced analytical methods across the organisation through research, expert communities, and cross-functional collaboration.

Academic publications

Price Setting Before and During the Pandemic: Evidence from Swiss Consumer Prices, with Barbara Rudolf
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, forthcoming

[Online Appendix] [Data] [ECB Working Paper] [SNB Working Paper] [KOF Working Paper] [SUERF Policy Brief] [Coverage: Speech T. Jordan]

Swiss CPI Microdata for Research: Data Structure, Panel Construction, and Applications, with Barbara Rudolf
Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics, forthcoming

[Code]

How Firms Set Their Prices: Survey Evidence Along the Stages of Price Setting
Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 162 (6), 2026

[Publisher] [Online Appendix] [KOF Working Paper] [KOF Bulletin] [Coverage: SRF 10vor10, SRF News, SRF Espresso, Blick]

Measuring Economic Sentiment from Open-Ended Survey Comments Using Large Language Models
Economics Letters, Vol. 256, 112622, 2025

[Publisher] [KOF Working Paper] [Online Appendix] [Data]

Price Setting on the Two Sides of the Atlantic - Evidence from Supermarket Scanner Data, with Peter Karadi, Juergen Amann, Javier Sánchez Bachiller, and Jesse Wursten
Journal of Monetary Economics, Vol. 140, 2023

[Publisher] [ECB Working Paper] [CEPR Working Paper] [VoxEU] [Coverage: Speeches I. Schnabel (Aug 2023, Nov 2023)]

Weighting Bias and Inflation in the Time of COVID-19: Evidence from Swiss Transaction Data
Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 156 (13), 2020

[Publisher] [CEPR Covid Economics] [VoxEU] [ifo Schnelldienst] [KOF Bulletin: Sep 2020, Dec 2020] [Coverage: SonntagsZeitung (Jul 2020), Neue Zürcher Zeitung, SonntagsZeitung (Dec 2020), TagesAnzeiger]

Research in Progress

Reconciled Bid Prices: A Joint Weight–Volume Framework for Air-Cargo Revenue Management

Nonlinearities of Monetary Policy across States of Price Rigidity

Time Variation in Price Setting and Monetary Non-Neutrality, with Barbara Rudolf

The Price of War: Causal Evidence on Firms' Price Setting in Response to the War in Ukraine

[VoxEU] [KOF Bulletin] [Coverage: TagesAnzeiger, Finanz und Wirtschaft, La Liberté]

Monetary Policy Shocks and Firms' Investment Decisions, with Klaus Abberger, Alexander Rathke, and Samad Sarferaz

[CESifo Working Paper]

Policy Contributions

Study on Inflation Expectations in the Survey of Swiss Consumer Sentiment, with Klaus Abberger, Nina Mühlebach, and Stefanie Siegrist
Grundlagen für die Wirtschaftspolitik, No 51, 2024

[Publisher] [Die Volkswirtschaft] [KOF Studies] [KOF Bulletin]

Price Setting During the Coronavirus (COVID-19) Pandemic, with Lukas Henkel, Elisabeth Wieland, Aneta Błążejowska, Cristina Conflitti, Brian Fabo, Ludmila Fadejeva, Jana Jonckheere, Peter Karadi, Paweł Macias, Jan-Oliver Menz, and Karol Szafranek
ECB Occasional Paper, No 324, 2023

[Publisher]

Causes and Effects of a Low Interest Period - An Empirical Analysis with Micro- and Macrodata, with Reto Föllmi, Torsten Schmidt, Niklas Isaak, and Philipp Jäger
Grundlagen für die Wirtschaftspolitik, No 26, 2021

[Publisher] [Die Volkswirtschaft] [Coverage: Neue Zürcher Zeitung, Finanz und Wirtschaft, TagesAnzeiger, Le Temps, Nau]

Talks, Community & Public Engagement

ECB Conference on Monetary Policy 2024: bridging science and practice
I presented my paper "Nonlinearities of Monetary Policy across States of Price Rigidity" at the Young Economist Session of the ECB 2024 Conference on Monetary Policy.
Video

Expert interview in Swiss television
I was interviewed by the Swiss television news broadcast 10vor10 about the price-setting behavior of companies in Switzerland.
Video